You have only 48.77% that 14th bullet will hit, if you have 95% to hit.
And you have 12.85% that 40th bullet will hit.
Here's a question:
It's 1/1/1 and each bullet in line is separate %?
So you'll have 48.77% that all bullets will hit your primary target or 12.85%?
it's
1)
1st/1st/1st
2nd/2nd/2nd
etc
13th/13th/13th
-/14th/-
or
2)
2nd/1st/3rd
5th/4th/6th
etc
Looks like 1st, but still bursting weapon is pure real life luck weapon, even 2nd bullet will have double chance of miss than 1st, and each next bullet will have on ~5-4% less and less, and if you'll fail your roll, then chain is broken and every other bullet missed.
So of couse BGskill% has nothing with this, you need only 95% to hit with 1st bullet, each next bullet will have 95% too. Then 0.95^x where x is a number of bullet.
Critical bursters of couse are better, because as they say, you may get more than 95% to hit with critical chance, it means that not only each bullet will deal multiplied by critical table damage, but also all of them or atleast more of them will hit target.
I saw difference, when I was bursted by avenger in point blank for ~130 damage, I had LAmk2 on me, x1 toughness +I was on jet (-15% DR), and 2nd burst was for 340+. Both were no critical. So it's just d100 rolls again and again and again until computer will roll 1-4, not BG% skill.